America ki artha vyavastha teesri timaahi mein 3.4 pratishat badhi, mudrasphiti bhee badhi

Sanyukt Rajya America ki artha vyavastha teesri timaahi mein warshik 3.4 pratishat ki dar se badhi, jo lagbhag teen saal mein sabse tez gati hai, kyonki kritrim buddhimatta mein nivesh mein badee badhotri aur sthir upbhokta kharch ne vikas ko doosri timaahi se kaafi aage bhadha diya. Bureau of Economic Analysis ne guruwar ko July se September awadhi ka apna pehla anumaan jaari kiya. Vikas doosri timaahi ki 2.2 pratishat gati se teez hua aur The Wall Street Journal dwara sarvekshan kiye gaye arthshastriyon ke 3.1 pratishat ke purvanumaan se upar aaya.

Usee samay jaari doosri report ne dikhaya ki mudrasphiti doosri disha mein jaa rahi hai. Personal consumption expenditures mulya suchkaank, jo Federal Reserve ka sabse kareeb se dekha jaane wala mudrasphiti mapak hai, September mein 0.5 pratishat badha, jo chhah mahine mein sabse badee masik badhotri hai. Warshik aadhar par, headline PCE mudrasphiti August ke 3.4 pratishat se badhkar 3.6 pratishat ho gayee. Core suchkaank, jo khana aur urja ko hata deta hai, mahine mein 0.3 pratishat aur saal mein 3.1 pratishat badha, August ke 3.0 pratishat se upar, purvanumaan ke anuroop.

AI kharch aur upbhokta vikas ko chalate hain

Aankdon par reporton ne do injin ki ore ishara kiya. Vyavsaayon ne data centre se lekar unke andar ke upkaranon tak kritrim buddhimatta kshamata badhane par badee rakam kharch karna jaari rakha, aur parivaaron ne kharch jaari rakha, jismein ucch share mulyon aur cum berozgaari se samarthit ameer American aage rahe. Nationwide ki mukhya arthshastri Kathy Bostjancic ne likha ki mazboot AI kharch vyavsaayik nivesh ko chalana jaari rakhe hue hai, ucch udhaar daron aur urja laagat ke bawjud prawidyogiki ke bahar bhee punji kharch par prabhaav pada hai. Artha vyavastha ki kamzor jagah bharti hee hai, jo utpaadan teez hone par bhee sust gati se chal rahi hai, aur vyapaar se vikas mein katauti ki ummeed thee.

Federal Reserve ke liye ek kathin mishran

Tez vikas aur garam mudrasphiti ka joda Federal Reserve ke apni benchmark dar ko 3.75 pratishat se 4.00 pratishat ke dayere mein apariwartit rakhne ke ek din baad aaya. Kendriya bank ne September mein dar badhaee thee, aur adhikaariyon ne December ko agle nirnay bindu ke roop mein ishara kiya hai. Adhyaksh Kevin Warsh ne kaha ki agle chhah hafte jankari se bharpur honge, aur September ki PCE reading us jankari ka kendriya hissa hai. Guruwar ko bajar mulyankan ne December 9 ki baithak mein chauthai ank badhotri ki sambhawana 83 pratishat rakhi. Vishleshak is saal ki mudrasphiti ko Iran ke saath yuddh se jude ucch tel daamon aur Sanyukt Rajya America ke shulkon ke baaki prabhaavon se jodte hain, aur urja laagat ghate to agle saal mulya vikas sust hone ki ummeed karte hain.

Bajar aur aage ki raah

Data ke baad share future neeche ki ore ishara kar rahe the, guruwar subah ke shuruwaati karobaar mein S and P 500 future 0.4 pratishat neeche tha, teen satron ki jeet ki shrinkhala ne suchkaank ko October 6 ke record band se lagbhag 1 pratishat neeche rakha tha. GDP report Mangalwar ke madhyawadhi chunawon se pehle artha vyavastha ki antim badee reading hai. Arthshastri ummeed karte hain ki chauthi timaahi mein vikas kuch sust hoga lekin rukega nahi, jo mudrasphiti ko saal ke baaki hisse ke liye khula sawal banata hai.

Srot

Barron's, MarketWatch, The Wall Street Journal aur Investor's Business Daily, October 29, 2026.